Deterministic and probabilistic ship pitch prediction using a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing,reinforcement learning and improved QRNN

The deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship motion is important for safe navigation and stable real-time operational control of ships at sea. However, the volatility and randomness of ship motion, the non-adaptive nature of single predictors and the poor coverage of quantile regression pose serious challenges to uncertainty prediction, making research in this field limited. In this paper, a multi-predictor integration model based on hybrid data preprocessing, reinforcement learning and improved quantile regression neural network (QRNN) is proposed to explore the deterministic and probabilistic prediction of ship pitch motion. To validate the performance of the proposed multi-predictor integrated prediction model, an experimental study is conducted with three sets of actual ship longitudinal motions during sea trials in the South China Sea. The experimental results indicate that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the proposed model of deterministic prediction are 0.0254°, 0.0359°, and 0.0188°, respectively. Taking series #2 as an example, the prediction interval coverage probabilities (PICPs) of the proposed model of probability predictions at 90%, 95%, and 99% confidence levels (CLs) are 0.9400, 0.9800, and 1.0000, respectively. This study signifies that the proposed model can provide trusted deterministic predictions and can effectively quantify the uncertainty of ship pitch motion, which has the potential to provide practical support for ship early warning systems.     

5万m~2地下特大型支撑爆破拆除

介绍了在复杂环境下爆破拆除一地下特大钢筋混凝土支撑的技术难点。由于合理选取爆破参数,采取孔内高段、孔外低段毫秒微差起爆网路,安全防护采取覆盖、近体、保护性三种措施,有效地阻止了飞石对周围建筑物的损害,并对爆破可能产生的危害进行了科学验算,最后分多次爆破圆满完成拆除任务。     

基于VMD和改进TCN的短期光伏发电功率预测

光伏发电功率存在波动性,且光伏出力易受各种气象特征影响,传统TCN网络容易过度强化空间特性而弱化个体特性。针对上述问题,文中提出一种基于VMD和改进TCN的短期光伏发电功率预测模型。通过VMD将原始光伏发电功率时间序列分解为若干不同频率的模态分量,将各个模态分量以及相对应的气象数据输入至改进TCN网络进行建模学习。利用中心频率法确定VMD的最优分解模态分解个数。在传统TCN预测模型的基础上,使用DropBlock正则化取代Dropout正则化以达到抑制卷积层中信息协同的效果,并引入注意力机制自主挖掘并突出关键气象输入特征的影响,量化各气象因素对光伏发电的影响,从而提高预测精度。以江苏省某光伏电站真实数据为例进行仿真实验,结果表明所提预测方法的RMSE为0.62 MW,MAPE为2.03%。     

Application of artificial neural network method to predict the breakage properties of PGE bearing chromite ore

In the present investigation, systematic grinding experiments were conducted in a laboratory ball mill to determine the breakage properties of low-grade PGE bearing chromite ore. The population balance modeling technique was used to study the breakage parameters such as primary breakage distribution (B_{i, j}) and the specific rates of breakage (S_i). The breakage and selection function values were determined for six feed sizes. The results stated that the breakage follows the first-order grinding kinetics for all the feed sizes. It was observed that the coarser feed sizes exhibit higher selection function values than the finer feed size. Further, an artificial neural network was used to predict breakage characteristics of low-grade PGE bearing chromite ore. The predicted results obtained from the neural network modeling were close to the experimental results with a correlation of determination R² = 0.99 for both product size and selection function.     

基于卷积神经网络的5G蜂窝网络无线定位方法

5G蜂窝网络发展迅猛，其覆盖面积将逐渐增大，因此使用5G蜂窝网络进行定位是有研究潜力的研究方向。本文提出一种新的深度学习技术来实现高效、高精度和低占用的定位，以代替传统指纹定位过程中繁重的指纹库生成以及距离计算。该方法建立了一个特殊的卷积神经网络，并根据5G天线信号的接收信号强度指示、相位和到达角等特征量，选择合适的输入数据格式构造样本组建训练集，对该卷积神经网络进行训练。训练得到的卷积神经网络可以替代指纹定位中的庞大指纹库，非常有利于直接在5G移动设备端实现定位。虽然卷积神经网络在训练过程中需要大量时间，但在训练完毕后直接进行分类定位的速度非常快，可以保障定位实现的实时性。本文所实现的卷积神经网络权重与偏置所占内存不到0.5 MB，且能够在实际应用环境中以95%的定位准确率以及0.1 m的平均定位精度实现高精度定位。     

疫情下电磁场理论课程的网络教学

本文主要总结了新冠疫情期间作者的电磁场理论课程在线教学经验。对比分析了录播和直播的优缺点后,选择录播教学方式。基于超星网络教学平台,展示了录播网络教学的具体措施,包括网上答疑和学习效果检查以及在线批改作业等。给出了网络教学可以为线下教学继续使用的方法和手段,为疫情结束后的正常教学提供了新的网络教学补充措施。     

5G核心网业务模型的智能化预测研究

摘 要：核心网业务模型的建立是5G网络容量规划和网络建设的基础，通过现有方法得到的理论业务模型是静态不可变的且与实际网络存在偏离。为了克服现有5G核心网业务模型与现网模型适配性较差以及规划设备无法满足用户实际业务需求的问题，提出了一种长短期记忆（long short-term memory，LSTM）网络与卷积LSTM （convolution LSTM，ConvLSTM）网络双通道融合的 5G 核心网业务模型预测方法。该方法基于人工智能（artificial intelligence，AI）技术以实现高质量的核心网业务模型的智能预测，形成数据反馈闭环，实现网络自优化调整，助力网络智能化建设。     

Learn decision trees with deep visual primitives

In this paper, we strive to propose a self-interpretable framework, termed PrimitiveTree, that incorporates deep visual primitives condensed from deep features with a conventional decision tree, bridging the gap between deep features extracted from deep neural networks (DNNs) and trees’ transparent decision-making processes. Specifically, we utilize a codebook, which embeds the continuous deep features into a finite discrete space (deep visual primitives) to distill the most common semantic information. The decision tree adopts the spatial location information and the mapped primitives to present the decision-making process of the deep features in a tree hierarchy. Moreover, the trained interpretable PrimitiveTree can inversely explain the constituents of the deep features, highlighting the most critical and semantic-rich image patches attributing to the final predictions of the given DNN. Extensive experiments and visualization results validate the effectiveness and interpretability of our method.     

基于RGB颜色信息聚类的光谱反射率重建

针对光谱反射率研究中因训练样本数据量大造成的冗杂等问题，提出了一种基于RGB信息进行聚类的样本分类方法。首先对颜色进行聚类并确定聚类个数，后对每一类光谱反射率使用BP神经网络分别进行重建。对于实验结果，使用ΔE₀₀、均方根误差（RMSE）以及适应度系数等标准进行评价，同时与主成分分析算法进行对比。从实验分析可得出，在聚类数目为7时光谱反射率重建效果最好，这时的平均CIE2000的色差为0.836，平均RMSE为0.0149，平均适应度系数为99.82%，并且，在最后对重建色差较大的色块进行了优化处理。实验证明，颜色聚类方法可以很好的应用于光谱反射率重建。